英国経済の市場期待値、GBP/USD市場予想
Overview British Economy
Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.50 0.40 0.50
Unemployment Rate 4.00 4.10 4.20 4.40
Inflation Rate 2.50 2.40 2.20 2.10
Core Inflation Rate 1.90 2.30 2.30 2.20
Interest Rate 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25
Balance of Trade -1861 -3000 -3500 -3700
Manufacturing PMI 54.0 55.4 56.0 55.7
Services PMI 53.5 53.0 53.4 53.8
Corporate Tax Rate 19.00 19.0 19.0 18.0
Currency 1.28 1.30 1.28 1.25 （GBP/USD）
Actual Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
GDP Growth Rate 0.40 0.50 0.40 0.50
Unemployment Rate 4.00 4.10 4.20 4.40
Inflation Rate 2.50 2.40 2.20 2.10
Core Inflation Rate 1.90 2.30 2.30 2.20
Interest Rate 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25
Balance of Trade -1861 -3000 -3500 -3700
Manufacturing PMI 54.0 55.4 56.0 55.7
Services PMI 53.5 53.0 53.4 53.8
Corporate Tax Rate 19.00 19.0 19.0 18.0
Currency 1.28 1.30 1.28 1.25 （GBP/USD）
The British Pound is expected to trade at 1.30 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.25 in 9 months time.
